09/06/2006

Predictions for Week 2
--------------------------------------------
by FM Ron Young
--------------------------------------------
Home     Standings Games
  Schedule   Players   Rules  Polls    League Leaders
Team Stats                                                                                                                       








Philadelphia Masterminds (0.0-1.0) vs Boston Blitz (1.0-0.0)

  Starts at 7:00 PM ET       Time Control - Game 90 with 30 second increment    

Philadelphia Masterminds


Boston Blitz
IM Richard Costigan - 2287

IM Igor Foygel - 2533
FM Norman Rogers - 2270

FM Steven Winer - 2422
FM Michael Shahade - 2242


FM William Kelleher - 2402
NM Elvin Wilson - 2240

NM Ilya Krasik - 2162
Avg Rating - 2260


Avg Rating - 2380
Philadelphia Total -------


------- Boston Total

Depending on what order one chooses to play over the
games, Philadelphia came very close to upsetting New
York last week. Their opposition this week look just
as tough. Though both GMs are resting, Boston is still
able to put three Senior masters in their lineup.
Philadelphia fields almost the same lineup as last
week, but while Baczynskyj sits out, Mike Shahade, who
must certainly be the hungriest player in the league,
takes his place. I think, though, that the pretzels
will prove more palatable than the beans. Boston,
2.5-1.5.


Baltimore Kingfishers (1.0-0.0) vs New York Knights (1.0-0.0)

  Starts at 7:15 PM ET       Time Control - Game 90 with 30 second increment    

Baltimore Kingfishers


New York Knights
GM Pawel Blehm - 2593


GM Pascal Charbonneau - 2500
FM Tegshsuren Enkhbat - 2414

FM Robert Hess - 2369
IM Larry Kaufman - 2359

IM Jay Bonin - 2354
WGM Katerina Rohonyan - 2260

Matthew Herman - 2172
Avg Rating - 2407


Avg Rating - 2349
Baltimore Total -------


------- New York Total



This must surely be the most anticipated match of the
week for any number of reasons, not least the Board
One meeting of GMs. To predict the outcome, a little
research into the past is necessary. What usually
happens the first time a defector faces his old team?
Looking at history, we see Zsuzsa Polgar leading the
USA to victory over Hungary, Tom Seaver shutting down
the Mets, and Sparky Lyle striking out Reggie Jackson.
The pressure to punish the abandoner seems to weigh
heavier than the discomfort of facing those one has
rejected. So I'm calling it for New York by the odd
point.




   Dallas Destiny (0.0-1.0) vs Tennessee Tempo (0.0-1.0)  

Starts at 8:00 PM ET         Time Control - Game 75 with 30 second increment    


Dallas Destiny             


Tennessee Tempo
GM Magesh Panchanathan - 2530

IM Ron Burnett - 2449
FM Andrei Zaremba - 2354

FM Todd Andrews - 2360
NM Keaton Kiewra - 2239

FM Peter Bereolos - 2319
Nelson Lopez - 2087


NM Jerry Wheeler - 2200    
Avg Rating - 2303


Avg Rating - 2332
Dallas Total -------


------- Tennessee Total
Tennessee fields the same lineup that scored 0-4 last
week. This is odd unless it is based on a
misunderstanding of the law of averages, in which case
it is all too understandable, as chess itself is
governed by similar laws of logic. Being of a
scientific turn of mind myself, I cannot ignore
Tennessee's rating edge, and so despite my misgivings,
I pick them to squeeze out a 2.5-1.5 victory.



Miami Sharks (0.0-1.0) vs San Francisco Mechanics (1.0-0.0)

Starts at 8:30 PM ET       Time Control - Game 60 with 30 second increment

Miami Sharks         


San Francisco Mechanics
GM Julio Becerra - 2624

IM Josh Friedel - 2513                
IM Alejandro Roman - 2437


IM Vince McCambridge - 2502
FM Marcel Martinez - 2415

IM David Pruess - 2459
Luis Barredo - 2160


Sam Shankland - 2106
Avg Rating - 2409


Avg Rating - 2395
Miami Total -------


------- San Francisco Total

In a bicoastal meeting between well-matched teams,
such a small detail as the difference in local time
can be the balance-tipper. While it will be only 5:30
PM in San Francisco when play begins, it will already
be 8:30 in Miami. So the Sharks ought to be awake and
alert while the Mechanics are still wiping the sleep
from their eyes. Miami, 2.5-1.5.



Seattle Sluggers (1.0-0.0) vs Carolina Cobras (0.0-1.0)

Starts at 9:00 PM ET       Time Control - Game 60 with 30 second increment
 
Seattle Sluggers


Carolina Cobras      
IM Georgi Orlov - 2580


IM Lev Milman - 2523 
IM Eric Tangborn - 2465

FM Matthew Hoekstra - 2401
FM John Readey - 2331

FM Oleg Zaikov - 2325
Michael Lee - 2102


NM Craig Jones - 2280
Avg Rating - 2370


Avg Rating - 2382
Seattle Total -------


------- Carolina Total
Were these teams meeting face-to-face I'd favor
Seattle but playing online means the intimidation
Jones might feel facing a twelve-year old is
substantially mitigated. So I think I will choose this
match as my tie of the week, especially since my
energy is flagging due to having to pick FIVE(!)
matches as a result of the consideration shown the
players in letting them enjoy the last weekend of
summer.


Below are Ron's picks and NM Arun Sharma's picks for this week (Arun picks the Monday night matches). We will be keeping track from this point on to see who has a better knack for picking winners:


Ron
Arun
Philadelphia vs Boston
Bos 2.5-1.5
Bos 2.5-1.5
Baltimore vs New York
NY 2.5-1.5
TIE 2-2
Dallas vs Tennessee
Ten 2.5-1.5
Ten 3-1
Miami vs San Francisco
Mia 2.5-1.5
Mia 2.5-1.5
Seattle vs Carolina
TIE 2-2
Car 2.5-1.5

Scoring works as follows:

Predictors get 2 points for each correct result (picking the correct winner or a tie)
Predictors get 1 bonus point for picking the correct score in 2.5-1.5 match or 2-2 tie
Predictors get 2 bonus points for picking the correct score in a 3-1 match (or 3.5-0.5/4-0)


Click here to go back to the US Chess League homepage