09/17/2006

10 Questions with Seattle's manager/player Clint Ballard
--------------------------------------------
by IM Greg Shahade
--------------------------------------------
Home     Standings Games
  Schedule   Players   Rules  Polls    League Leaders
Team Stats                                                                                                                       










1. So how did it feel to get an expansion team in Seattle ?


    It was a tremendous honor to be chosen to manage a USCL team as almost all the other teams are managed my masters and even IM's. I felt that the Seattle area could compete for the title in our first year due to all the local chess activity and I am glad that so far things are going even better than planned. The Seattle area in general hasn't had many championship teams and I want to bring a national team title to Seattle before the Seahawks.

2. What do you expect from the rest of the season after your team’s tremendous start?


   
Its usually better to be lucky than good, but when you are both, well that leads to a tremendous start. If you go strictly by the ratings of the matchups, we have been favored in 10 of the 12 boards and with one of those "underdogs" being Michael Lee, our 9.5 pts is actually not that anomalous. What is anomalous is that 11 of 12 of our games have been decisive and the first draw was last night's board 1 that went all the way to K+P stalemate. That draw that Serper gave up is really the reason why we are "underperforming" the 10 matchup advantages we had. Only two games were decisive game upsets, not that Michael beating a master, or John losing to Oleg is really an upset. I do know that John was pretty upset for missing the clear win in his loss though :)


3. You are outspoken as an anti-draw enthusiast. Tell us why you hate draws so much!

 
It's not that I hate draws, they have their place in chess, as long as it is a true fighting draw. What I hate are the lifeless, dull draws where neither player did anything to even try to create a win. You know the ones I am talking about, either they just trade off all the pieces as fast as they can, or they play a few moves away from the safe harbor of known opening theory and then agree to a draw. How is that a sport or interesting in any way? When two masters do their best to avoid losing, they both achieve their goal, and a draw is inevitable. What a waste of time, it's certainly not marketable to the fans so why don't they just agree to a draw before they start? It seems that it is repeated so often that people believe that a properly played chessgame inevitably leads to a draw, as if chess is just a glorified form of tic-tac-toe. I claim that is entirely nonsense! If that is the case, how can Hydra crush super-GM's? If that is the case, how can super-GM's be totally unable to navigate endgames properly with less than half a dozen pieces left? Imagine a 32 piece tablebase. Would it show mate in 145 for white or black, or a draw? How can we have any idea if white's advantage is something that can really be nurtured all the way to victory or not, if we stop trying to win every game?

4. You are famous for your BAP scoring system, implemented to discourage drawn games. Please explain it briefly for others whom are curious.


 
It's a really simple solution to the GM-draw problem that makes the lifeless draw totally illogical and makes every game decisive. At the GM level, it is considered a minor victory if black holds white to a draw. If black achieved a minor victory, why should white get the same amount of points as black? The idea of giving a half point for a draw started around 1867 and it's time for an improvement. BAP is that improvement with 3 points for a black win, 2 points for a white win and 1 point for a black draw. 0 points for white drawing or any loss. While it might be true that within the scope of a single game, BAP is biased toward black, it is quite possible that at the GM level, BAP could actually be less biased than the 1867 system. Only time will tell and the GM Slugfest (www.GMSlugfest.com) this October will have GM's like Shabalov and Akobian playing under BAP. I still have a sponsored spot open if there are some GM's out there would like to personally experience BAP without risking any money to get a chance at the $5000 prize. However, I can state with 100% confidence that if every player in a tournament plays an even number of whites and blacks, there is no overall bias. This is regardless of the bias that might or might not exist for either color and compares favorably to all the major swiss events that have an odd number of rounds.

5. A lot of people think it's strange that in your scoring system white gets the same number of points for a draw and a loss? Do you think there is any way to modify that so that white perhaps gains half a point for a draw, or at least gets more than zero? The way the scoring system is setup now it's almost as if you would rather go into a clearly lost position with miniscule winning chances than to take a draw, which seems sort of like anti-chess to serious chessplayers. It's almost as if there are situations that encourage you to make very weak chess moves.

 
Well, I think it is strange that white and black get the same amount of points for winning and drawing, when there  is quite a bit of evidence that black does have a harder time winning than white does. Clearly the 1867 point system has become suboptimal in 2006. Now, I am in the process of analyzing historical chess games to see who the best player of all time was and so far what I call the BAP3 point system is the most promising. BAP3 is BAP, but switching the points assigned for a win so white gets 3 points for a win and black gets 2 points for a win. With the 1867 point system, it comes up with nonsensical things like Kasparov was 2.7 times better than his opponents as white, but "only" 1.6 times as good when playing black. I claim that Kasparov's abilities did not change by 50% based on the color he played, so this difference must be the biasing that the 1867 point system gives to white. With BAP3, it says that Kasparov was 2.87 times as good as white and 3.41 times as good as his opponents when he played black. Doesn't that make more sense? BAP3 would be a fine basis for a rating system, but not as good as BAP to encourage decisive chess. It is also not biased for or against any playing style.

    Anyway, I have all of the questions like this thought through and answered on my www.Slugfest7.com website. The bottomline is that if we don't change anything, odds are pretty good that nothing will change. All of the so-called problems with BAP that people are afraid of haven't happened in the actual games, but there sure are a lot of boring draws played every week using the 1867 point system. Call me crazy, but winning is much better than drawing and BAP really forces you to learn how to win as white. Isn't the point of chess, to win? So, how can a point system that rewards winning and discourages not winning be "strange". If people would go beyond their first instinctive reaction and actually analyze the problem a bit deeper, they will come to the similar conclusions as I have. It is like the Queen sac that at first doesn't make any sense, until you analyze it deeper.


6. Okay Mr. draw hater, Seattle is in the Championship Match, they are up 2-1, you have a slightly better, although risky position against a 2200 player on Board 4 when you notice you can force perpetual check. Do you ignore the team and go all out for the win, or do you take the draw, and bring chess glory to the city of Seattle .


    Team play is a totally different animal and I wouldn't even suggest using BAP for team play. Unless you play 2 games each round, there will be biasing so that makes it impractical. In tournaments with an even number of rounds, all biasing disappears if the colors are balanced. After analyzing the statistical behavior (I do have a math degree from Caltech for those who are wondering about my credentials in things mathematical) of a variety of point systems, using BAP3 just on board 1 would eliminate the vast majority of drawn matches. However, this is not currently a problem and the simple solution to prevent tied matches is to use your wonderful tiebreak format for all tied matches. That would make for a great TV segment. The point is to win and if 2.5 points wins the match and the championship, hey, I would play the Petroff and trade off all the pieces to secure that draw :). Now the reason that draws are not really a problem with the USCL is that nobody knows ahead of time if a draw is good enough and when it comes down to the final game, in most cases one player has to win while the other player secures the match with a draw. See, the incentive structure is almost identical to BAP in this case and none of the players can predict ahead of time if they will end up in that situation.  BAP brings this level of competition and intensity to every game played.

    There isn't a one size fits all solution and as a community we need to ask ourselves if the point system that started in 1867 and a tournament system (swiss) in 1895 are really the best ones to be using in 2006. Chess organizers get what they pay for and if they are rewarding draws disproportionately to what the truth of the position indicates, then that is what they will get. Chess computers vs. Chess computers don't have a 55% draw rate and if chess computers are the best chessplayers in the world now, maybe we can learn from them?


7. Tell us your thoughts about your top 2 players, GM Serper and IM Orlov. Do you ever plan on using them both in the same match?

    Having both Orlov and Serper on the team is like having two GM's on the team and allows us to matchup against any other team, even Boston's Christiansen/Perelshteyn duo. Georgi has been holding summer chess camps for kids in the northwest area for many years and is a big reason why the young players here are so good. He is also actively teaching one on one and has many students, including Michael Lee. As good as he is as a teacher, it is just amazing to see him play. Before the Carolina game, he looked at three or four games by Milman and next thing you know he just crushes him.

    Serper is so solid. He has been playing professionally all over the world for over 20 years and since he doesn't usually play in many local events, it is a testament to the appeal of the USCL that he agreed to play for the Sluggers. Gregory is such a nice guy, to my knowledge he doesn't have any students, but he is spending time with the other Sluggers in the post-mortem analysis.

     The problem with playing both of them in the same match is that it chews up so much of the rating cap, so we aren't sure whether we will play them both until we are up against another possible dual-GM lineup, but who knows, anything is possible...

8. What are the chances that there will be cheerleaders at a Sluggers match this season?

  Until the games are televised, I don't really see the need for cheerleaders, plus it could distract our players. I was thinking of setting up a webcast from the other room that the other teams could watch :)

9. Aside from Seattle of course, which team do you think is the strongest team in the league?

  Certainly Boston, the only other team with only 1 draw so far and a non-master manager, is one of the teams I wouldn't be surprised to meet in the finals. However, if Baltimore beats them in week 6, then anything can happen. If they don't how can anybody else in the East catch up to them? In the West, all I see are very strong teams. San Francisco is very strong, but so is Miami and with the addition of Stopa ,Dallas becomes a formidable opponent, and even Tennessee held Dallas to a draw. We really were lucky to get a win last Wednesday. The season is still very young and any team can win the next 7 in a row (including us!), due to the 2400 rating cap. That's almost a statistically predictable form of league parity that does it much better than the NFL. In the USCL, any team can truly beat any other team on a given night. The difference between winning and losing is a single move made under time pressure!  (After being pressured Clint finally settled on "Boston" being the strongest team in the league aside from Seattle)


10. To sum it all up, tell us what the whole USCL experience has been like after the first few weeks of the regular season.
    It's been like what it would be for a lifetime Yankees fan being able to take George Steinbrenner's place! I can't believe how much fun its been and I am probably spending way too much time on it :) There are about 10 million chess players in the US, so once it gets to TV, there is an audience that can certainly exceed bowling and come close to golf. It's not about the money, but rather that I truly believe that chess is the best game in the world and I want to do everything I can to make it mainstream. Wouldn't it be cool to have a national chess tour event every week with thousands of players and a million+ dollar prize fund? If that was real, I doubt that we would continue to lose 99% of active scholastic players sometime between 6th grade and age 30. This is a battle for respect. Chess deserves a lot more respect in the "real world" and the big money tournaments represents that respect. I had a similar battle on a much smaller scale back in high school when to the shock and horror to all the athletes, I got my school to award letterman jackets with block letters to the high school chess team. According to the rules governing such things, chess met all the qualifications, so they had to agree to do it. It was a matter of principle as I had no desire to actually wear the jacket, but chess deserved the same respect that football, baseball, basketball, etc. had.

    I would like to personally thank you for the opportunity you have given me and the Seattle area and all the work you have put in to create the USCL. It truly has the potential to bring chess to the mainstream and even if it doesn't, it's so much fun. I would wear a USCL jacket anyday! Any plans for league apparel? Fans could show their support for their teams that way and get their team logos on stuff they wear.


 Thanks Clint for taking the time to answer these questions. Best of luck to you and your Seattle Sluggers in the rest of the season!




Click here to go back to the US Chess League homepage