09/19/2006

Week 4 Predictions
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by FM Ron Young
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Last week both of our fortunetellers did better than the previous week's disaster, with Ron Young doing especially well. Below are last week's selections:


Ron
Arun
Boston vs New York
Bos 2.5-1.5
TIE 2-2
Baltimore vs Carolina
TIE 2-2
Bal 2.5-1.5
Tennessee vs Miami
Mia 2.5-1.5
Mia 2.5-1.5
Philadelphia vs San Francisco
SF 2.5-1.5
SF 3-1
Seattle vs Dallas
Sea 2.5-1.5
Sea 3-1

When they picked the correct team, I have made it blue, and if they also picked the correct score, I have made it red in the chart above.

As you see, Ron Young correctly predicted the result of 4/5 matches, and predicted 2 of them exactly for a grand total of 10 points this week.
Arun Sharma predicted 3/5 matches correctly for a total of 6 points.

Adding these scores to their scores from last week puts Ron firmly in the lead going into week 4:

(this week's score on the left, total score up until this week on the right)

Ron Young: 10+3 = 13
Arun Sharma: 6+3= 9


 Now it's time to see this week's predictions!




Seattle Sluggers


Tennessee Tempo
GM Gregory Serper - 2570

IM Ron Burnett - 2449
FM Slava Mikhailuk - 2438

FM Todd Andrews - 2360
FM John Readey - 2331

FM Peter Bereolos - 2319
NM Nat Koons - 2223

NM Jerry Wheeler - 2200
Avg Rating - 2391


Avg Rating - 2332
Seattle Total -------
0.0
0.0
------- Tennessee Total

Except for the new Seattle player on board two, this
is an exact colors-reversed rematch of Week One, which
saw a clean sweep for the Sluggers. Perhaps the tiny
lineup change was a precaution against any possible
voodoo Manager Andrews may have prepared. I think we
will see a sweep here (but only of the two matches).
Seattle by...one, I guess.


Dallas Destiny             


San Francisco Mechanics
GM Magesh Panchanathan - 2530

IM Josh Friedel - 2513
IM Jacek Stopa - 2512

IM David Pruess - 2459
IM Peter Vavrak - 2471


IM Dmitry Zilberstein - 2435
Nelson Lopez - 2087

Daniel Naroditsky - 2055
Avg Rating - 2400


Avg Rating - 2366
Dallas Total -------
0.0
0.0
------- San Francisco Total

This is also a rematch, though none of the same
players face each other as did in week one. Dallas
therefore has the benefit of the revenge incentive
without the insidious lingering inferior feeling that
usually goes hand-in-hand. Dallas, 2.5-1.5.


Boston Blitz


Philadelphia Masterminds
GM Eugene Perelshteyn - 2614

FM Bryan Smith - 2442
FM Steven Winer - 2422

IM Richard Costigan - 2287
NM Charles Riordan - 2283


FM Norman Rogers - 2270
NM Vadim Martirosov - 2259

NM Elvin Wilson - 2240
Avg Rating - 2395


Avg Rating - 2310
Boston Total -------
0.0
0.0
------- Philadelphia Total

Yet another rematch, though again, no individual
pairings repeat. Bryan Smith makes his first
appearance for Philly this week, and one that is
mightier than he cometh after. As of right now,
though, the savior is not in the building. Boston,
2.5-1.5.



Carolina Cobras      


New York Knights
IM Lev Milman - 2523 

GM Pascal Charbonneau - 2500
IM Jonathan Schroer - 2451


IM Jay Bonin - 2354
FM Oleg Zaikov - 2325

NM Mackenzie Molner - 2367
NM John Kirby - 2222


WGM Jennifer Shahade - 2318
Avg Rating - 2380


Avg Rating - 2385
Carolina Total -------
0.0 0.0
------- New York Total

Both these teams have thus far underachieved, and
their respective managers are trying different
strategies to turn things around—one by sitting out
for the first time, the other by playing for the first
time. It will be interesting to see whose idea works
better. Bonin-Schroer is a blast from the grungy,
urine-soaked (Fred) Waitzkin-world of the Eighties,
where only the pairing cards were balanced and only
the sealed-move envelopes were safe. I think the color
assignments favor the Knights. New York by the usual
odd point.


Predictions for Week 4:


Ron (13)
Arun (9)
Miami vs Baltimore
TIE 2-2
TIE 2-2
Seattle vs Tennessee
Sea 2.5-1.5
Seattle 3-1
Dallas vs San Francisco
Dal 2.5-1.5
TIE 2-2
Boston vs Philadelphia
Bos 2.5-1.5
Bos 2.5-1.5
Carolina vs New York
NY 2.5-1.5
NY 3-1






Scoring works as follows:

Predictors get 2 points for each correct result (picking the correct
winner or a tie)

Predictors get 1 bonus point for picking the correct score in 2.5-1.5
match or 2-2 tie

Predictors get 2 bonus points for picking the correct score in a 3-1
match (or 3.5-0.5/4-0)


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