10/08/2006
Monday Night Prediction: Miami vs Dallas
--------------------------------------------
by NM Arun Sharma
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Miami Sharks (2.5-3.5) vs Dallas
Destiny (2.5-3.5)
Starts at 8:15 PM ET
Time Control - Game 75 with 30 second increment
Once again we have a Monday night match with
enormous playoff
implications. The way the standings in
the West currently lie it would be difficult to envision that the third
and last playoff spot there would not come down to one of these two
teams, and with them being tied right now the winner of this match will
have a huge advantage in that regard.
Board
1 pits GM Becerra vs. GM Panchanathan. GM Panchanathan really has
played much better than his record might inititally indicate, just so
far has had an inability to finish his games off properly. GM
Becerra
though has been too strong this season, especially with the White
pieces, so Miami has to have some edge here.
Board
2 of IM Stopa against IM Moreno Roman is a rather tough one to
call.
IM Moreno in his brief USCL career seems to have had a few very
solid
performances as well as a few he'd probably rather forget so this match
could depend on which side of his persona shows up. IM Stopa has
been
very solid on the whole though and with him having White, I have to
give Dallas an edge here.
Board 3 we have FM
Martinez taking on IM Vavrak. FM Martinez has been struggling in
the
season so far, and I'm sure is quite anxious to turn things around, and
if there was ever a time his team needed him to do it, it would be
now. If he can't, Miami could be in big trouble on this board as
IM
Vavrak, though appearing somewhat infrequently for Dallas, has been
extremely impressive in his few appearances. However, FM Martinez
is
really too good of a player to allow his bad streak to continue so like
Board 2, this game likely can come down to which personality shows up
at the table for Miami, but I think this one's a toss up.
Board
4 of Lopez vs. Barredo. I've been wrong too many times trying to
classify these Board 4 games by who has a higher rating, who
has White,
etc. so I won't try to do that here and just call this one a toss
up as
well.
As usual with these
Monday matches, the overall result is one which might be predicted to
go any of the three ways. While on the board I think neither side
really has an edge, the one thing that really somewhat tips the scale
for me is each team's respective ability to perform in the clutch as
Miami showed last season that they have what it takes to win
even under
the harshest of circumstances (i.e. their memorable playoff
comeback
vs. San Francisco last season, it's just a good thing that Mr.
Cochrinov was the assistant manager for the Boston team at that time
and not the San Francisco team as that defeat might have caused a
scandal of epic proportions. I'm not even sure what his specific
accusations might have been, but click
here
for a potential example).
The Dallas team has unfortunately had more than one result
derailed
this season due to a last minute mistake so based off of that, I'm
going to choose in favor of a
2.5 - 1.5 Miami
victory.
Ron Young chooses Dallas to
win 2.5-1.5
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