10/11/2006
Week 7 Predictions
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by FM Ron Young
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Below are the Week 6 scores of our result guessing battle.
|
Ron (27)
|
Arun (29)
|
San Francisco vs New York
|
TIE 2-2
|
TIE 2-2
|
Carolina vs Philadelphia
|
Phi 2.5-1.5
|
Phi 3-1
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Boston vs Baltimore
|
Bos 2.5-1.5
|
Bal 2.5-1.5
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Tennessee vs Dallas
|
Dal 2.5-1.5
|
Dal 3-1
|
Seattle vs Miami
|
TIE 2-2
|
TIE 2-2
|
When our prognosticators picked the correct team, I have made it blue, and if they also picked the correct score,
I have made it red in the chart above.
Ron was exceptionally bad in Week 6, with only one correct result out of 5 matches, and not even getting the exact
score in that match. Arun faired a bit better, by getting two correct matches with the exact correct score. In order
to save our hosts embarrassment, I will no longer mention the independant predictor who has his own blog detailing his
picks and is basically scoring better than both of our hosts combined! In any case over here with the amateurs at the USCL
website, Arun now has a convincing lead over Ron.
Arun Sharma: 29+7 = 36
Ron Young: 27+2 = 29
Let's take a look at this week's predictions:
New York will be looking to bounce back, while
Carolina will be happy just to bounce. Look for both
sides to get their wish. Bonin playing White is worth
something, and is only fair as well. After all, the
man has paid his dues. New York, 2.5-1.5.
Ehlvest played impressively in his USCL debut, but his
strength did not seem to rub off on his teammates. I
assume it was the weather. I expect it to be less
sticky this week and so pick Philadelphia to prevail
by the usual margin (i.e., the margin I usually
predict a team to prevail by [i.e., one point]).
Tennessee is putting up their top four, so they are
clearly taking this match seriously. And unlike
Seattle, they are giving just enough time odds to be
insulting without incurring a serious disadvantage. I
salute their strategy but grovel before Boston’s
strength. Boston by a point.
If this is not the most anticipated match of the
season it’s because people just didn’t anticipate it.
Seattle’s disdain for draws seems to apply equally to
draw odds, if giving a 30-minute handicap on two
boards means anything. I believe it does and pick the
Frisconian's to win by a point and grab command of the
draw odds race.
Predictions for Week 7:
|
Ron (29)
|
Arun (36)
|
Miami vs Dallas
|
Dal 2.5-1.5
|
Mia 2.5-1.5
|
New York vs Carolina
|
NY 2.5-1.5
|
NY 3-1
|
Baltimore vs Philadelphia
|
Phi 2.5-1.5
|
Phi 3-1
|
Tennessee vs Boston
|
Bos 2.5-1.5
|
Bos 2.5-1.5
|
San Francisco vs Seattle
|
SF 2.5-1.5
|
SF 2.5-1.5 |
Scoring works as follows:
Predictors get 2 points for each correct result (picking the correct
winner or a tie)
Predictors get 1 bonus point for picking the correct score in 2.5-1.5
match or 2-2 tie
Predictors get 2 bonus points for picking the correct score in a 3-1
match (or 3.5-0.5/4-0)
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