08/31/2005

  FM Ron Young predicts the results of Week 1 Matches
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by FM Ron Young
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(Please note that the below predictions were made before IM Foygel cancelled for Boston.)
Hi, I’m Ron, and I’ll be your prognosticator. I’m new
at this but if it makes you feel better, Jimmy the
Greek was my childhood hero, and I used to vote for
president according to who his wife’s astrologist was.
Carolina Cobras      


San Francisco Mechanics
GM Marcin Kaminski - 2473


IM Vince McCambridge - 2502
FM Lev Milman - 2474


IM Mladen Vucic - 2436
FM Matt Hoekstra - 2407


FM Dmitry Zilberstein - 2435
John Timmel - 2093


NM Nicholas Yap - 2209
Avg Rating - 2361


Avg Rating - 2395
Carolina Total -------
0.0
0.0
----- San Francisco Total
In Carolina-San Francisco, the Mechanics have an overall rating edge, coming mostly
from board four. The key may be how much rust has
attached to McCambridge, and how quickly he adapts to
the newfangled technology. I give a slight edge to San
Francisco but the predicted score is 2-2.

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Boston Blitz


New York Knights
IM Eugene Perelshteyn - 2576


GM Alex Stripunsky - 2663
FM Paul MacIntyre - 2316


IM Jay Bonin - 2379
FM William Kelleher - 2383


NM Gregory Braylovsky - 2376
Ilya Krasik - 2123


John Fernandez - 2116
Avg Rating - 2393


Avg Rating - 2383
Boston Total -------
0.0
0.0
------- New York Tota
It is nice to see the New York-Boston rivalry open on
a new front, and the sides are well-matched. So who
has more incentive? The Yankees’ collapse in last
year’s playoffs certainly wants avenging...but these
guys are mostly from Brooklyn and Queens, so they’re
probably Met fans. Looking at the ratings, it looks
like Bonin was at low ebb on the relevant list, so the
Knights caught a break there. Braylovsky is a
notorious time-trouble addict but I have rarely seen
him play other than G/30. So the question is whether
the more relaxed time control will take care of the
clock issues or if the lack of an impatient stare
across the board prevents him from ever making a move
at all.

Oh, a score? Bstntunahalfonenahalf.
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Dallas Destiny         


Philadelphia Masterminds
GM Alejandro Ramirez - 2565


FM Norman Rogers - 2307
GM Magesh Panchanathan - 2487


IM Richard Costigan - 2295
FM Andrei Zaremba - 2355


NM Elvin Wilson - 2239
Sam Copeland - 1960


FM Boris Baczynskyj - 2236
Avg Rating - 2341


Avg Rating - 2269
Dallas Total -------
0.0
0.0
----- Philadelphia Total

It is very tempting to pick against a team that calls
itself the “Destiny” before they’ve played their first
match, but the Wheeze Kids to look to be outgunned
here. I’ll pick Dallas to win by 3-1.
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Miami Sharks


Baltimore Kingfishers
GM Julio Becerra - 2622


IM Pascal Charbonneau - 2506
FM Marcel Martinez - 2469


FM Tegshsuren Enkhbat - 2453
IM Blas Lugo - 2426


FM Bruci Lopez - 2409
Dr. Eric Moskow - 2127


WIM Tsagaan Battsetseg - 2273
Avg Rating - 2411


Avg Rating - 2410
Miami Total -------
0.0
0.0
----- Baltimore Total


The Miami-Baltimore match features nearly identical
average ratings, so this is where the prognosticator’s
art can really be seen. I pick Baltimore
2.5-1.5...just because.


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