08/30/2006

Predictions for Week 1
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by FM Ron Young
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***Forward by USCL Commissioner Greg Shahade***

FM Ron Young is back for another year of predictions. Ron did quite a good job of predicting in the 2005 season, lets see if he can keep up his prowess in the 2006 version of the USCL.

*** on to the predictions ***


   New York Knights vs Philadelphia Masterminds 

Starts at 7:00 PM ET      Time Control - Game 90 with 30 second increment

New York Knights


Philadelphia Masterminds
GM Pascal Charbonneau - 2500


IM Richard Costigan - 2287
IM Irina Krush - 2445


FM Norman Rogers - 2270
IM Jay Bonin - 2354


NM Elvin Wilson - 2240
FM Boris Privman - 2338


FM Boris Baczynskyj - 2206
Avg Rating - 2409


Avg Rating - 2251
New York Total -------
0.0
0.0
------- Philadelphia Total

After losing to Baltimore in the 1971 NBA semifinals,
the Knicks traded for the Bullets’ star Earl Monroe,
and so the Knights lured the MVP of the team that beat
them in last year’s semis to their side. Should
Charbonneau fail to become the media star Manager
Shahade promised he would be in New York, then who
knows where he’ll be next year but for now his
presence should give New York some of the confidence
that mere rating points and FIDE titles can’t provide.


Philadelphia can field a wide variety of lineups
without losing anything, but they all include Ehlvest
and Smith, neither of whom are available this week. So
they are playing for game points, and I think they’ll
get half of one. New York, 3.5-.5.



  Carolina Cobras vs Baltimore Kingfishers

Starts at 7:15 PM ET      Time Control - Game 90 with 30 second increment

Carolina Cobras      


Baltimore Kingfishers
IM Lev Milman - 2523


FM Tegshsuren Enkhbat - 2414
FM Matthew Hoekstra - 2401


IM Larry Kaufman - 2359
FM Oleg Zaikov - 2325


WGM Katerina Rohonyan - 2260
NM Craig Jones - 2280


FM Ralph Zimmer - 2253
Avg Rating - 2382


Avg Rating - 2321
Carolina Total -------
0.0
0.0
----- Baltimore Total

The key to this match may be whether enough time has
passed for Enkhbat to recover from the shock of 50
...Nc6
in last year’s Week 8 game with Milman. I think
not, and pick Carolina to win 2.5-1.5.




  Boston Blitz vs Miami Sharks

Starts at 7:30 PM ET      Time Control - Game 90 with 30 second increment

Boston Blitz


Miami Sharks         
GM Larry Christiansen - 2633


GM Julio Becerra - 2624
IM Igor Foygel - 2533


IM Blas Lugo - 2447
NM Vadim Martirosov - 2259


FM Marcel Martinez - 2415
NM Ilya Krasik - 2162


Jose Cabrera - 2077
Avg Rating - 2397


Avg Rating - 2391
Boston Total -------
0.0
0.0
----- Miami Total

Miami seems to find this particular lineup muy
simpático, so it is no surprise that they try to set
the tone for the new season with it. Boston looks
quite imposing with Larry C on board 1, but he faces a
tough opponent in Becerra. Just when you’ve stormed
his barricade, you find he’s still got a rampart to
rock. A tough one to call, but luckily ties are
allowed, so that is what I forecast.



  San Francisco Mechanics vs Dallas Destiny

Starts at 8:30 PM ET      Time Control - Game 75 with 30 second increment

San Francisco Mechanics


Dallas Destiny             
IM Vinay Bhat - 2463


GM Magesh Panchanathan - 2530
IM David Pruess - 2459


IM Davorin Kuljasevic - 2423
IM Dmitry Zilberstein - 2435


FM Igor Shneider - 2387
NM Mark Pinto - 2217


NM Keaton Kiewra - 2239
Avg Rating - 2394


Avg Rating - 2395
San Francisco Total -------
0.0
0.0
----- Dallas Total

This is another very tough match, and I’m tempted to
call another tie. However, my editor forbids me to
predict more than one tie per week. I have found,
though, that to pick the team whose player names have
the highest Scrabble® values works surprisingly well.
Dallas wins comfortably by this measure, and would win
even bigger if Shneider spelled his name properly with
a “c”. Dallas, 2.5-1.5.



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